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Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

Author

  • D Schroter
  • W Cramer
  • R Leemans
  • IC Prentice
  • MB Araujo
  • NW Arnell
  • A Bondeau
  • H Bugmann
  • TR Carter
  • CA Gracia
  • AC de la Vega-Leinert
  • M Erhard
  • F Ewert
  • M Glendining
  • JI House
  • S Kankaanpaa
  • RJT Klein
  • S Lavorel
  • M Lindner
  • MJ Metzger
  • J Meyer
  • TD Mitchell
  • I Reginster
  • M Rounsevell
  • S Sabate
  • S Sitch
  • B Smith
  • J Smith
  • P Smith
  • Martin Sykes
  • K Thonicke
  • W Thuiller
  • G Tuck
  • S Zaehle
  • B Zierl

Summary, in English

Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.

Publishing year

2005

Language

English

Pages

1333-1337

Publication/Series

Science

Volume

310

Issue

5752

Document type

Journal article

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Topic

  • Physical Geography

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Other

  • ISSN: 1095-9203