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Theses, dissertations and research publications (including journal articles, conference abstracts and books) from Lund University are collected in this database. Where possible, the option to download a full text document is available. It is also possible to search for Lund University student theses in the student theses database.
| Title | Governing the transition to low-carbon futures: A critical survey of energy scenarios for 2050 |
| Author/s | Patrik Soderholm, Roger Hildingsson, Bengt Johansson, Jamil Khan, Fredrik Wilhelmsson |
| Department/s |
Swedish Institute for Food and Agricultural Economics
Department of Political Science Environmental and Energy Systems Studies |
| Full-text | Full text is not available in this archive |
| Alternative location (URL) | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.fu... Restricted Access (Alternative Location) |
| Publication/Series | Futures |
| Publishing year | 2011 |
| Volume | 43 |
| Issue | 10 |
| Pages | 1105 - 1116 |
| Document type | Journal article |
| Status | published |
| Quality controlled | yes |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Elsevier Science Ltd |
| Abstract English | There is a growing scientific consensus that limiting the increase in global average temperature to around 2 C above pre-industrial levels is necessary to avoid unacceptable impact on the climate system. This requires that the developed countries' emissions are radically reduced during the next 40 years. Energy scenario studies provide insights on the societal transitions that might be implied by such low-carbon futures, and in this paper we discuss how a greater attention to different governance and institutional issues can complement future scenario exercises. The analysis is based on a critical review of 20 quantitative and qualitative scenario studies, all of relevance for meeting long-term climate policy objectives. The paper: (a) analyzes some key differences in energy technology mixes and primary energy use patterns across these studies; (b) briefly explores the extent and the nature of the societal challenges and policy responses implied; and (c) discusses a number of important implications for the design and scope of future scenario studies. Our review shows that in previous scenario studies the main attention is typically paid to analyzing the impact of well-defined and uniform policy instruments, while fewer studies factor in the role of institutional change in achieving different energy futures. We therefore point towards a number of strategies of integrating issues of transition governance into future scenario analyses, and argue for a closer synthesis of qualitative and quantitative scenario building. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| Subject |
Social Sciences |
| Keywords | Low-carbon society, Energy scenarios, Transition governance |
| ISBN/ISSN/Other |
ISSN: 0016-3287 |
| Research group | Miljöpolitik |
| Project | Governing transitions towards Low-Carbon Energy and Transport Systems for 2050 |
| Funder |
Energimyndigheten |
| Funder |
Naturvårdsverket |
| Funder |
Trafikverket |
| Funder |
Vinnova |
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"ReSearch for the Future"
Lund University's "ReSearch for the Future" magazine (Pdf, 10 Mb) presents a range of research from across the University.