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The course deals with model building and estimation in non-linear dynamic stochastic models for financial systems. The models can have continuous or discrete time and the model building concerns determining the model structure as well as estimating possible parameters. Common model classes are, e.g., GARCH models with discrete time or models based on stochastic differential equations in continuous time. The course participants will also meet statistical methods, such as Maximum-likelihood and (generalised) moment methods for parameter estimation, kernel estimation techniques, non-linear filters for filtering and prediction, and particle filter methods. The course also discusses prediction, optimisation, and risk evaluation for systems based on such descriptions.
More information can be found at http://www.maths.lth.se/course/FMS161MASM18/