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Risk analysis and fire safety engineering

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Author

Summary, in English

The paper demonstrates how two quantitative risk analysis (QRA) methods may be used to evaluate the risk to which the occupants of a building may be subjected if a fire breaks out. The methods (standard QRA and extended QRA) differ in terms of how uncertainties in the variables are considered. The extended QRA explicitly considers uncertainty as it is a part of the methodology. The standard QRA has to be complemented with a sensitivity analysis to fully provide insight into the uncertainty inherent in the scenario. Both methods are applied to a calculation example determining the societal risk for a hospital ward. The analyses are performed as Monte Carlo simulations.

Publishing year

1998

Language

English

Pages

313-329

Publication/Series

Fire Safety Journal

Volume

31

Issue

4

Document type

Journal article

Publisher

Elsevier

Topic

  • Other Civil Engineering
  • Building Technologies

Keywords

  • Monte Carlo
  • Risk evaluation
  • Risk analysis
  • Event tree
  • Fire
  • Evacuation

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Other

  • ISSN: 0379-7112