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The Effects of Financial Risks on Inventory Policy

På svenska

Author

Summary, in English

The effect of financial risks on (R, Q) inventory policies is analyzed in a real options framework. Simple adjustments of the usual formulas for R and Q are suggested and tested. Stochastic demand and purchase costs are considered, both with known systematic (business-cycle-related) risk. The systematic risk of stochastic demand has typically a negligible effect on the optimal values of R and Q, although an improvement may be achieved by a simple adjustment of R. The systematic risk of the purchase price, c, has a significant effect on R and Q. The capital holding cost should be estimated as r . c, where r is the sum of the risk-free interest rate, the expected price decrease, and the risk premium associated with the systematic risk of c. For goods quoted on commodity exchanges, r may be estimated directly from the prices on forward contracts. Its size (and sign) varies considerably for different commodities.

Publishing year

2005

Language

English

Pages

1804-1815

Publication/Series

Management Science

Volume

51

Issue

12

Document type

Journal article

Publisher

Informs

Topic

  • Transport Systems and Logistics

Keywords

  • Inventory costing methods
  • Capital costs
  • Risk
  • Inventory control
  • Studies
  • Real options analysis
  • Stochastic models

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Other

  • ISSN: 0025-1909