On the perceived usefulness of risk descriptions for decision-making in disaster risk management
Author
Summary, in English
Managing risk using an “all-hazards” and “whole of society”-approach involves extensive communication of risk descriptions among many stakeholders. In the present study we investigate how professionals working with disaster risk management in such contexts perceive the usefulness of different descriptions of risk. Empirical data from the Swedish disaster risk management system were used in an attempt to investigate the aspects of a risk description that affect its usefulness (as perceived by professionals). Thirty-three local municipal risk and vulnerability assessments (RVA documents) produced in the region of Scania in 2012 were
analyzed in terms of six variables. The documents were then ranked by professionals based on their perceived usefulness for decision-making. Statistical analysis was conducted to identify any possible correlations between the overall ranking of the usefulness of the municipal RVA:s and
each of the variables. We conclude that the way the likelihood and consequences of scenarios are described influence the perceived usefulness of a risk description. Furthermore, whether descriptions of scenarios are included in a risk description or not, and whether background information concerning the likelihood of scenarios are included also influence perceived
usefulness of risk descriptions.
analyzed in terms of six variables. The documents were then ranked by professionals based on their perceived usefulness for decision-making. Statistical analysis was conducted to identify any possible correlations between the overall ranking of the usefulness of the municipal RVA:s and
each of the variables. We conclude that the way the likelihood and consequences of scenarios are described influence the perceived usefulness of a risk description. Furthermore, whether descriptions of scenarios are included in a risk description or not, and whether background information concerning the likelihood of scenarios are included also influence perceived
usefulness of risk descriptions.
Department/s
Publishing year
2015
Language
English
Pages
48-55
Publication/Series
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Volume
142
Full text
- Available as PDF - 274 kB
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Document type
Journal article
Publisher
Elsevier
Topic
- Other Civil Engineering
Keywords
- description of risk
- risk and vulnerability assessment
- disaster risk management
- risk communication
- usefulness
- decision-making
Status
Published
Research group
- LUCRAM (Lund University Center for Risk Analysis and Management
ISBN/ISSN/Other
- ISSN: 0951-8320