Recursive estimation in switching autoregressions with Markov regime
Author
Summary, in English
A hidden Markov regime is a Markov process that governs the time or space dependent distributions of an observed stochastic process. We propose a recursive algorithm for parameter estimation in a switching autoregressive process governed by a hidden Markov chain. A common approach to the recursive estimation problem is to base the estimation on suboptimal modifications of Kalman filtering techniques. The main idea in this paper is to use the maximum likelihood method and from this develop a recursive EM algorithm.
Department/s
- Mathematical Statistics
- Spatio-Temporal Stochastic Modelling Group
Publishing year
1994
Language
English
Pages
489-506
Publication/Series
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Volume
15
Issue
5
Links
Document type
Journal article
Publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
Topic
- Probability Theory and Statistics
Keywords
- Switching autoregressions
- Markov regime
- recursive estimation
- EM algorithm
Status
Published
Research group
- Spatio-Temporal Stochastic Modelling Group
ISBN/ISSN/Other
- ISSN: 0143-9782