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The Euro Effect on Bystanders

Author

Summary, in English

This paper investigates trade effects of the euro focusing on the impact on bystanders. A common currency is expected to lower both variable and fixed trade costs, inducing increased trade flows between currency-union members on both intensive and extensive margins of trade. While this trade-creating effect has gained attention in recent work using firm-level data, few studies have looked on the possible trade-diverting effect for firms remaining outside. In this paper, we use data for Swedish manufacturing firms covering the 1997-2006 period in order to assess the potential trade-diverting effects of the euro on Swedish exports. We consider variations in the impact of the euro taking both firm, industry and export-market characteristics into account. Our results suggest that there are some trade-diverting effects on the intensive margin but that these negative effects of the euro on trade flows are asymmetric and only valid for core markets within the Eurozone.

Publishing year

2014

Language

English

Publication/Series

Working Paper / Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Lund University

Issue

33

Document type

Working paper

Publisher

Department of Economics, Lund University

Topic

  • Economics

Keywords

  • euro
  • trade diversion
  • exports
  • heterogeneous firms

Status

Published