The effect of including societal consequences for decisions on critical infrastructure vulnerability reductions
Author
Summary, in English
Critical infrastructures provide society with services that are essential for its functioning and extensive disruptions of these give rise to large societal consequences. Vulnerability analysis gives important decision information concerning improving their ability to withstand strains. To analyze vulnerabilities in infrastructures models for estimating consequences due to failures are needed. Consequences arising from a critical infrastructure disruption can be estimated from an infrastructural or a societal viewpoint. Most risk and vulnerability related studies of critical infrastructures, however, focus rather narrowly only on the direct infrastructural consequences, e.g. expressed as services not supplied. An integrated model, consisting of a physical model of a critical infrastructure the Swedish electric transmission system) and an inoperability input-output model to estimate societal consequences
is used. The paper analyze and contrast how the two viewpoints may affect the decision of which vulnerability reducing measures to implement. Vulnerability reducing measures are implemented as
addition of branches to the existing power system. The results show a relatively large difference when considering estimated effectiveness but the ranking of the measures is to some extent, congruent,
however it is concluded that accounting for societal consequences in the decision-making process, when prioritizing between different vulnerability reducing measures, is of importance.
is used. The paper analyze and contrast how the two viewpoints may affect the decision of which vulnerability reducing measures to implement. Vulnerability reducing measures are implemented as
addition of branches to the existing power system. The results show a relatively large difference when considering estimated effectiveness but the ranking of the measures is to some extent, congruent,
however it is concluded that accounting for societal consequences in the decision-making process, when prioritizing between different vulnerability reducing measures, is of importance.
Department/s
- Centre for Societal Resilience
- Lund University Centre for Risk Assessment and Management (LUCRAM)
- Industrial Electrical Engineering and Automation
- Division of Risk Management and Societal Safety
Publishing year
2014
Language
English
Publication/Series
PSAM12
Document type
Conference paper
Publisher
Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM)
Topic
- Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
Keywords
- Critical infrastructures
- vulnerability reducing measures
- societal consequences
- Electric power system
- decision context
Conference name
PSAM12
Conference date
2014-06-22 - 2014-06-27
Status
Published
Research group
- LUCRAM (Lund University Center for Risk Analysis and Management